Backtest · Strategy · Tracking

Test your football betting strategy. See what history says.

Your rules, replayed on years of football matches at real closing odds. Returns and risk in plain sight.

3 free backtests in total · No credit card required · 18+

55 competitions · finished matches since 2021/22 · real closing odds

Build a football strategy, simulate its historical results, check their stability and track matching fixtures.
A backtest result in Backstedge: strategy name, reliability verdict, ROI, profit in units, number of bets, win rate, average odds and worst drawdown

01Backtest

Measure what would have happened. Not what you hope.

Replay the exact same rules on years of finished matches and read what they would have returned: profit, number of bets, worst losing run.

+8.1%
ROI
+19.8 u
profit
244
simulated bets
−11.2 u
worst drawdown
  • Pre-match data only

    Every criterion uses only what was known before kick-off.

  • Odds told apart

    Real closing odds and estimated odds are always clearly distinguished.

  • Every bet listed

    Date, match, odds and outcome of each simulated bet, open to check. See a real example

Read the full methodology
A backtest result: reliability verdict, then ROI, profit, simulated bets, win rate, average odds and worst drawdown

02Validate

Find out if the result really holds.

A solid strategy should not depend on one perfect setting. Backstedge moves each criterion slightly and checks whether the result stays consistent.

Stable result

Stable

Minimum odds

1.101.201.301.401.50+4.3%
  • 1.20 → +3.8%
  • 1.30 → +4.3%
  • 1.40 → +4.0%

Fragile result

Fragile

Minimum odds

1.101.201.301.401.50+4.3%
  • 1.20 → −0.6%
  • 1.30 → +4.3%
  • 1.40 → −2.0%

Same reported ROI. Not the same confidence.

Illustrative example, not a real backtest.

03Track

Your strategy does not stop when the backtest ends.

Activate tracking on a saved strategy: Backstedge spots the upcoming matches that fit its rules and records what each one returns.

Bet by bet, you build a real track record next to the backtest — and see whether the idea lives up to it.

Live tracking and alerts are included from the Pro plan.

Upcoming matches: several detected matches, the matching strategy, the criteria met and each match’s status

Strategy library

Strategies tested on years of matches, ready to track.

Each strategy was backtested on several seasons at real closing odds, then checked on a season kept aside. Track it directly with Pro, or adapt it to make it yours.

  • DrawEurope’s top 5

    Draw between a rested host and a visitor that rarely wins

    +27%550 bets · checked on a separate season

    Open the strategy
  • Home winChampions League

    Champions League hosts that score freely against a strong visitor

    +25%300 bets · checked on a separate season

    Open the strategy
  • Half-time: awayBundesliga

    Bundesliga visitors leading at half-time

    +22%316 bets · checked on a separate season

    Open the strategy

See all strategies

Start testing your strategies.

Free

Explore your first ideas.

Free

  • Build your rules — no spreadsheets, no code
  • 3 free backtests in total
  • Essential performance analysis
Test my strategy

Pro

Recommended

Build, test and track your strategies.

$49/ month

  • Backtests renewed every month
  • Stability analysis
  • Live strategy tracking and email alerts
  • Automatic detection of qualifying matches
  • Data export
Start with Pro

No commitment · cancel anytime

Advanced

Compare and run multiple strategies.

$79/ month

  • Everything in Pro, with higher quotas
  • Side-by-side strategy comparison
  • Per-match criteria breakdown
Start with Advanced

No commitment · cancel anytime

Compare plans in detail
PlanFreeProAdvanced
Saved strategies320100
Backtests3 in total20 / month30 / month
Stability analyses—310
Active live trackings—1050
Strategy comparison——Included
Per-match criteria breakdown——Included

Prices shown in US Dollar. The final amount is shown in your currency at checkout.

Every plan also works from your AI assistant (Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor…) through the Backstedge MCP server. How it works

Frequently asked questions

Does Backstedge tell me what to bet on?

No. Backstedge replays betting rules on past matches and tells you what they would have returned. With live tracking, it flags the upcoming matches that meet a rule’s conditions, yours or one from the library, and you decide what to do with them.

Does a profitable backtest guarantee future profits?

No. A good result can come from a lucky period, a sample that is too small, or rules overfitted to the past. Backstedge makes these limits visible to help you judge the strategy with more perspective.

Which matches and odds can I test on?

55 competitions, finished matches since 2021/22: 2. Bundesliga, AFC Champions League Elite, Brasileirão, Bundesliga, Champions League, Championship, Chinese Super League, Community Shield, CONCACAF Champions League, Conference League, CONMEBOL Libertadores, CONMEBOL Sudamericana, Copa del Rey, Copa Do Brasil, Coppa Italia, Coupe de France, Cup, DBU Pokalen, DFB Pokal, Eliteserien, Eredivisie, Europa League, FA Cup, FA Cup, FIFA Club World Cup, Jupiler Pro League, KNVB Beker, La Liga, La Liga 2, League Cup, Leagues Cup, Ligue 1, Ligue 2, MLS, NM Cupen, Premier League, Primeira Liga, Schweizer Cup, Serie A, Serie B, Super Cup, Super Cup, Super Cup, Super Cup, Super Cup, Super Cup, Süper Lig, Superliga, Swiss Super League, Taça da Liga, Taça de Portugal, Trophée des Champions, Türkiye Kupası, UEFA Super Cup, US Open Cup.

Finished matches, at the real closing odds of aggregated bookmakers. When no bookmaker odds exist for a match, Backstedge uses an estimated odds and flags it. Exact coverage depends on the competition and the market.

See the full coverage in the methodology
What happens when I save a strategy?

It stays in your account with its rules and results, ready to be tested again. Live tracking — Backstedge spotting the upcoming matches that fit and recording their outcome — is part of the Pro plan.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. You manage and cancel your subscription whenever you want from your settings, and it stays active until the end of the period already paid for.

Your decisions deserve better than a hunch.

Go from an idea to a tested strategy, tracked over time.

Test my strategy

3 free backtests · No credit card required · 18+